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Gold's Breakout is Confirmed: Why Consolidation Above $\mathbf{\$4,170}$ Signals the Next Leg Up
**By Gemma Knight** | December 8, 2025 – Continuation Strategy
The Geometry Confirmed: Supply is Now Demand
The market resolved the **Golden Apex** earlier than expected, with a decisive break above the descending supply ceiling on **November 27th**. The key takeaway: for the last eleven days, the price has successfully held the line. The descending ceiling, previously acting as resistance, has now been converted into the new floor of demand around $\mathbf{\$4,170}$. The price is currently ($\mathbf{\$4,208}$) in a critical consolidation pattern (a bullish flag/pennant) above this structural floor. This is not a moment of decision, but a moment of **confirmation** for the next major upward move.
1. The Consolidation Box: $\mathbf{\$4,163} - \mathbf{\$4,264}$
Since breaking the trendline, Gold has been channeling inside a tight, powerful consolidation zone. This sideways action is constructive—it digests the earlier gains and builds energy for the continuation.
Key Resistance (The Trigger)
The recent high established on December 1st at $\mathbf{\$4,264.56}$ is the immediate hurdle. A confirmed close above this level activates the full measured move of the breakout.
Structural Support (The Floor)
The critical floor of the consolidation is the December 2nd low at $\mathbf{\$4,163.46}$. As long as Gold stays above this level, the bullish structure remains intact.
2. Strategy: Entering the Continuation Trade
Our bias must shift strongly to the long side. This current sideways action is ideal for disciplined entry, positioning us for the eventual break above $\mathbf{\$4,264}$.
- Action 1: Buy the Dip (Preferred Strategy): Initiate long positions within the current $\mathbf{\$4,200} - \mathbf{\$4,220}$ zone, aiming for high reward/low risk entry near the psychological $\mathbf{\$4,200}$ mark.
- Action 2: Place Stop Loss: A hard stop loss **must** be placed beneath the structural low of the range, specifically below $\mathbf{\$4,163}$. A close below this point suggests a false breakout and immediate liquidation is required.
- Action 3: Target the Break: The primary target for profit-taking is the eventual break and confirmation above $\mathbf{\$4,264.56}$, with a measured move extension targeting $\mathbf{\$4,320}$ in the short term.
